Public band
Watch
Latest score 35.0
Municipal Profile
Deming
Deming Municipal Water System in nm-deming. This profile highlights what is happening and why it matters using water-system, fiscal, capital, and signal context.
WatchScore date Mar 25, 2026Methodology v0.1.2
Headline score
35.0
92% confidence · cohort Community · < 25k · Ground.
Score confidence
92%
Peer percentile
100%
Community · < 25k · Ground
Coverage posture
1 missing
1 score inputs currently missing
Decision support
Unified explainability
Structural indicators
Operational Stress16.0 / 20.0
Operational Stress totals 16.000 points, led by compliance escalation.
Capex Pressure8.0 / 20.0
Capex Pressure totals 8.000 points, led by infrastructure capital gap.
Revenue Fragility7.0 / 20.0
Revenue Fragility totals 7.000 points, led by housing market weakness.
Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0
Rate Constraint totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.
Governance Risk4.0 / 20.0
Governance Risk totals 4.000 points, led by parent-government fiscal stress.
Stress diagnostics
- Structural stress is currently driven by compliance-related escalation within recent monitoring activity.
- Affordability pressure is present, with declining real income affecting rate capacity.
- Liquidity conditions indicate moderate constraint.
- Additional monitoring signals reflect ongoing administrative and reporting strain.
- Some areas remain under active evaluation as coverage expands.
Signal timeline summary
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Large structural capital need relative to local support capacity often precedes major rate or funding pressure.
Effective Mar 25, 2026
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Parent-government debt, pension, or operating stress can constrain infrastructure support and governance flexibility.
Effective Mar 20, 2026
Housing Market Weakness
Weak housing values and permit activity signal local economic softness and tax-base stress.
Effective Mar 13, 2026
Monitoring and Reporting Failures
Recurring monitoring or reporting failures often signal weak administrative capacity or deteriorating operational discipline.
Effective Mar 13, 2026
Compliance Escalation
Repeated or serious compliance failures often indicate rising operational and infrastructure stress.
Effective Mar 13, 2026
Housing Market Weakness
Weak housing values and permit activity signal local economic softness and tax-base stress.
Effective Mar 12, 2026
Monitoring and Reporting Failures
Recurring monitoring or reporting failures often signal weak administrative capacity or deteriorating operational discipline.
Effective Mar 12, 2026
Compliance Escalation
Repeated or serious compliance failures often indicate rising operational and infrastructure stress.
Effective Mar 12, 2026
Source observations
Completeness 0% · raw-file links remain policy-gated to authorized internal review workflows.
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Value: capital_need_20y=30526594.259840, per_capita=1907.91
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.9600
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
SRF Dependence Spike
Value: projects_3y=0.000000, committed_per_capita=0.00, forgiveness_per_capita=0.00, forgiveness_share=None, need_per_capita=1907.91
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 1.0000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Value: debt_service_ratio>=11, operating_deficit_flag=1, revenue_growth<=5
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.5000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Rapid Score Deterioration
Value: prior_score=23.000, prior_as_of_date=2026-03-13
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 1.0000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Utility Data Staleness
Value: latest_document_id=None
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.5000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Compliance Escalation
Value: violations_3y=8, enforcement_actions_3y=32, high_severity_3y=26
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.9200
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Value: monitoring_related_violations=20
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.9200
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Income Erosion
Value: 9.134919
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Dec 31, 2025
Confidence: 0.7240
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Housing Market Weakness
Value: housing_value_trend=42.416780, permit_trend_5yr=-47.457627
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.7240
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Population Served Decline
Value: 6.344724
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Dec 31, 2025
Confidence: 0.7240
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Coverage and history
Stress Diagnostics
- Latest headline score sits in the watch band as of Mar 25, 2026.
- Score confidence is 92% based on evidence depth, coverage, and mapping quality.
- Peer context places this market at the 100% percentile within Community · < 25k · Ground.
- Detailed drivers, contribution values, and workflow actions are available through account access.
Expanded stress diagnostics
Open detailed contribution diagnostics
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Capex pressure contributes +8: drinking-water capital need is 30526594.259840 with per-capita burden 1907.91.
Contribution 8.0 / 12.0
Trigger Triggered · need_per_capita_1200_plus
SRF Dependence Spike
SRF dependence contributes +0: 0.000000 drinking-water SRF projects closed within three years with 0.000000 committed and 0.000000 forgiven.
Contribution 0.0 / 8.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_material_srf_dependence
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Governance Risk contributes +4: parent-government flags=['debt_service_ratio>=11', 'operating_deficit_flag=1', 'revenue_growth<=5'].
Contribution 4.0 / 10.0
Trigger Triggered · moderate_parent_fiscal_flags
Rapid Score Deterioration
Rapid deterioration contributes +0: score delta is 0.000000.
Contribution 0.0 / 4.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_material_deterioration
Utility Data Staleness
Disclosure freshness contributes +0: latest attached disclosure is not stale after None days.
Contribution 0.0 / 6.0
Trigger Not triggered · fresh_document
Compliance Escalation
Operational compliance contributes +12: 40 violations or enforcement actions have been recorded within the last three years.
Contribution 12.0 / 12.0
Trigger Triggered · open_high_severity
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Monitoring/reporting contributes +4: 20 monitoring-related violations are on record.
Contribution 4.0 / 8.0
Trigger Triggered · recent_monitoring_failure
Income Erosion
Rate-constraint income erosion contributes +0: inflation-adjusted income trend is 9.134919%.
Contribution 0.0 / 20.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_material_income_erosion
Housing Market Weakness
Housing-market weakness contributes +7: housing trend=42.416780, permit trend=-47.457627.
Contribution 7.0 / 10.0
Trigger Triggered · housing_or_permits_materially_weak
Population Served Decline
Population trend contributes +0: five-year population change is 6.344724%.
Contribution 0.0 / 10.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_material_decline
Confidence summary
Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.
Gate low (option_b)
- score_confidence: high
- availability_score: high
- mapping_confidence: high
- freshness_score: high
- provenance_completeness: low
Missing factor coverage
1 score inputs remain missing on the latest live score, which contributes to the confidence caution shown above.
Disclosure freshness diagnostics
0 attached local documents · 0 structured facts
No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date. Public profile sections are summarized because score confidence is currently low.
Latest reference Not available · stale after Not available
Score movement
8.0
Previous run Mar 24, 2026
Mar 25, 2026
Score 35.0 in band watch. Confidence 92%.
Delta vs prior run 8.0
Mar 24, 2026
Score 27.0 in band watch. Confidence 84%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 22, 2026
Score 27.0 in band watch. Confidence 84%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 21, 2026
Score 27.0 in band watch. Confidence 84%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 20, 2026
Score 27.0 in band watch. Confidence 84%.
Delta vs prior run 4.0
Mar 18, 2026
Score 23.0 in band watch. Confidence 78%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 16, 2026
Score 23.0 in band watch. Confidence 78%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 13, 2026
Score 23.0 in band watch. Confidence 78%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 13, 2026
Score 23.0 in band watch. Confidence 78%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 12, 2026
Score 23.0 in band watch. Confidence 78%.
Trend and export
Full timeline review is available for paid workflows.
Regime
Regime Timeline
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Mar 25, 2026
Signal Infrastructure Capital Gap is active.
Score update
Mar 25, 2026
Score 35.000 (watch).
Historical score
Mar 25, 2026
Historical score 35.000 (watch).
Methodology updated
Mar 25, 2026
Methodology changed from v0.1.1 to v0.1.2.
Historical score
Mar 24, 2026
Historical score 27.000 (watch).
Methodology updated
Mar 24, 2026
Methodology changed from v0.1.2 to v0.1.1.
Historical score
Mar 22, 2026
Historical score 27.000 (watch).
Historical score
Mar 21, 2026
Historical score 27.000 (watch).
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Mar 20, 2026
Signal Parent-Government Fiscal Stress is active.
Historical score
Mar 20, 2026
Historical score 27.000 (watch).
Historical score
Mar 18, 2026
Historical score 23.000 (watch).
Historical score
Mar 16, 2026
Historical score 23.000 (watch).
Methodology updated
Mar 16, 2026
Methodology changed from v0.1.1 to v0.1.2.
Housing Market Weakness
Mar 13, 2026
Signal Housing Market Weakness is active.
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Mar 13, 2026
Signal Monitoring / Reporting Failures is active.
Compliance Escalation
Mar 13, 2026
Signal Compliance Escalation is active.
Historical score
Mar 13, 2026
Historical score 23.000 (watch).
Historical score
Mar 13, 2026
Historical score 23.000 (watch).
Methodology updated
Mar 13, 2026
Methodology changed from v0.1.0 to v0.1.1.
Housing Market Weakness
Mar 12, 2026
Signal Housing Market Weakness is active.
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Mar 12, 2026
Signal Monitoring / Reporting Failures is active.
Compliance Escalation
Mar 12, 2026
Signal Compliance Escalation is active.
Historical score
Mar 12, 2026
Historical score 23.000 (watch).
Infrastructure indicators
Infrastructure Exposure
Drinking-water system snapshot
PWSID NM3528616 · population served 16,236 · source water ground_water
Violations 0 · enforcement actions 0
Wastewater and capital beta context
Wastewater links 0 · capital indicators 0 · SRF projects 0
Headline-score eligibility remains off by default unless mapping confidence is high and explicitly enabled.
Fiscal overlay
Fiscal Pressure Metrics
City of Deming
Latest fiscal year 2024.
Parent-government fiscal context is shown here as a slower-moving governance overlay rather than a live operating signal.
Comparison
Cross-system comparison
Compare this system
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Export workflows
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Exports
Data and report exports
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Sources
Source-linked panels
Source-backed panel
Scoring and signal state
Structured score contributions and public signal summaries, tracked with methodology version and peer context.
- Methodology version: v0.1.2
- As of date: 2026-03-25
- Signals in history: 8
Source-backed panel
Drinking-water identity and compliance
System identity, population served, violation history, enforcement actions, and boundary metadata.
- PWSID: NM3528616
- Snapshot date: Not available
- Violations: 0
- Enforcement actions: 0
Source-backed panel
Parent-government fiscal overlay
Organization-level fiscal metrics remain a separate overlay and feed Governance Risk in v1.
- Parent government: City of Deming
- Latest fiscal year: 2024
Source-backed panel
Wastewater and capital context
Wastewater remains beta-only in v1 unless mapping confidence is high and explicitly enabled.
- Wastewater links: 0
- Capital indicators: 0
- SRF projects: 0
