Public band
Watch
Latest score 34.0
Municipal Profile
NEW LONDON DEPT. OF PUBLIC UTILITIES
New London Dept. Of Public Utilities in ct-new-london-dept-of-public-utilities. This profile highlights what is happening and why it matters using water-system, fiscal, capital, and signal context.
WatchScore date Mar 25, 2026Methodology v0.1.2
Headline score
34.0
72% confidence · cohort Community · 25k–100k · Surface.
Score confidence
72%
Peer percentile
100%
Community · 25k–100k · Surface
Coverage posture
4 missing
4 score inputs currently missing
Decision support
Unified explainability
Structural indicators
Operational Stress14.0 / 20.0
Operational Stress totals 14.000 points, led by compliance escalation.
Capex Pressure0.0 / 20.0
Capex Pressure totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.
Revenue Fragility0.0 / 20.0
Revenue Fragility totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.
Rate Constraint20.0 / 20.0
Rate Constraint totals 20.000 points, led by income erosion.
Governance Risk0.0 / 20.0
Governance Risk totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.
Stress diagnostics
- Structural stress is currently driven by compliance-related escalation within recent monitoring activity.
- Affordability pressure is present, with declining real income affecting rate capacity.
- Liquidity conditions indicate moderate constraint.
- Additional monitoring signals reflect ongoing administrative and reporting strain.
- Some areas remain under active evaluation as coverage expands.
Signal timeline summary
Income Erosion
Weakening household income reduces rate capacity and affordability headroom.
Effective Mar 24, 2026
Monitoring and Reporting Failures
Recurring monitoring or reporting failures often signal weak administrative capacity or deteriorating operational discipline.
Effective Mar 24, 2026
Compliance Escalation
Repeated or serious compliance failures often indicate rising operational and infrastructure stress.
Effective Mar 24, 2026
Source observations
Completeness 0% · raw-file links remain policy-gated to authorized internal review workflows.
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Value: Not available
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.5000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
SRF Dependence Spike
Value: projects_3y=0, committed_per_capita=0.00, forgiveness_per_capita=0.00, forgiveness_share=None, need_per_capita=None
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 1.0000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Value: No parent-government fiscal overlay is available for this service market.
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.9500
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Rapid Score Deterioration
Value: no_prior_history
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 1.0000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Utility Data Staleness
Value: latest_document_id=None
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.5000
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Compliance Escalation
Value: violations_3y=3, enforcement_actions_3y=3, high_severity_3y=0
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.9500
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Value: monitoring_related_violations=76
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.9500
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Income Erosion
Value: -100.000000
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Dec 31, 2025
Confidence: 0.8570
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Housing Market Weakness
Value: housing_value_trend=63.478559, permit_trend_5yr=None
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.8570
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Population Served Decline
Value: Population-served trend is unavailable because the latest support metric snapshot is missing or incomplete.
Source: Source metadata unavailable
Date: Not available
Confidence: 0.8570
Raw-file link policy: Raw files are preserved in object storage and exposed only in authorized workflows.
Coverage and history
Stress Diagnostics
- Latest headline score sits in the watch band as of Mar 25, 2026.
- Score confidence is 72% based on evidence depth, coverage, and mapping quality.
- Peer context places this market at the 100% percentile within Community · 25k–100k · Surface.
- Detailed drivers, contribution values, and workflow actions are available through account access.
Expanded stress diagnostics
Open detailed contribution diagnostics
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Capital-gap scoring is unavailable because no drinking-water capital-need indicator is stored.
Contribution 0.0 / 12.0
Trigger Not triggered
SRF Dependence Spike
SRF dependence contributes +0: 0 drinking-water SRF projects closed within three years with 0 committed and 0 forgiven.
Contribution 0.0 / 8.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_material_srf_dependence
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Parent-government fiscal stress is unavailable because no parent-government role and fiscal overlay are resolved.
Contribution 0.0 / 10.0
Trigger Not triggered
Rapid Score Deterioration
Rapid deterioration is not triggered because there is no prior score history for this methodology version.
Contribution 0.0 / 4.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_prior_history
Utility Data Staleness
Disclosure freshness contributes +0: latest attached disclosure is not stale after None days.
Contribution 0.0 / 6.0
Trigger Not triggered · fresh_document
Compliance Escalation
Operational compliance contributes +10: 6 violations or enforcement actions have been recorded within the last three years.
Contribution 10.0 / 12.0
Trigger Triggered · open_or_active_with_chronic_burden_3y
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Monitoring/reporting contributes +4: 76 monitoring-related violations are on record.
Contribution 4.0 / 8.0
Trigger Triggered · recent_monitoring_failure
Income Erosion
Rate-constraint income erosion contributes +20: inflation-adjusted income trend is -100.000000%.
Contribution 20.0 / 20.0
Trigger Triggered · real_income_decline_15_plus
Housing Market Weakness
Housing-market weakness contributes +0: housing trend=63.478559, permit trend=None.
Contribution 0.0 / 10.0
Trigger Not triggered · no_material_housing_weakness
Population Served Decline
Population-served trend is unavailable because the five-year support-base metric is missing.
Contribution 0.0 / 10.0
Trigger Not triggered
Confidence summary
Confidence is mainly capped by missing factor coverage.
Gate low (option_b)
- score_confidence: medium
- availability_score: medium
- mapping_confidence: high
- freshness_score: high
- provenance_completeness: low
Missing factor coverage
4 score inputs remain missing on the latest live score, which contributes to the confidence caution shown above.
Disclosure freshness diagnostics
0 attached local documents · 0 structured facts
No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date. Public profile sections are summarized because score confidence is currently low.
Latest reference Not available · stale after Not available
Score movement
0.0
Previous run Mar 24, 2026
Mar 25, 2026
Score 34.0 in band watch. Confidence 72%.
Delta vs prior run 0.0
Mar 24, 2026
Score 34.0 in band watch. Confidence 66%.
Trend and export
Full timeline review is available for paid workflows.
Regime
Regime Timeline
Score update
Mar 25, 2026
Score 34.000 (watch).
Historical score
Mar 25, 2026
Historical score 34.000 (watch).
Methodology updated
Mar 25, 2026
Methodology changed from v0.1.1 to v0.1.2.
Income Erosion
Mar 24, 2026
Signal Income Erosion is active.
Monitoring / Reporting Failures
Mar 24, 2026
Signal Monitoring / Reporting Failures is active.
Compliance Escalation
Mar 24, 2026
Signal Compliance Escalation is active.
Historical score
Mar 24, 2026
Historical score 34.000 (watch).
Infrastructure indicators
Infrastructure Exposure
Drinking-water system snapshot
PWSID CT0950011 · population served 27,620 · source water surface_water
Violations 0 · enforcement actions 0
Wastewater and capital beta context
Wastewater links 0 · capital indicators 0 · SRF projects 0
Headline-score eligibility remains off by default unless mapping confidence is high and explicitly enabled.
Fiscal overlay
Fiscal Pressure Metrics
No parent-government overlay is linked for this system yet.
Comparison
Cross-system comparison
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Exports
Data and report exports
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Sources
Source-linked panels
Source-backed panel
Scoring and signal state
Structured score contributions and public signal summaries, tracked with methodology version and peer context.
- Methodology version: v0.1.2
- As of date: 2026-03-25
- Signals in history: 3
Source-backed panel
Drinking-water identity and compliance
System identity, population served, violation history, enforcement actions, and boundary metadata.
- PWSID: CT0950011
- Snapshot date: Not available
- Violations: 0
- Enforcement actions: 0
Source-backed panel
Wastewater and capital context
Wastewater remains beta-only in v1 unless mapping confidence is high and explicitly enabled.
- Wastewater links: 0
- Capital indicators: 0
- SRF projects: 0
